Home WinCorrectEV+0.020Odds1.65

14 clean sheets: can Mantova breach Modena's fortress?

Modena unbeaten in 7 meetings with Mantova, 14 clean sheets this season, and Mantova with just 2 away wins from 15 road trips. Meroni absent through injury. Modena to win, likely 1-0 or 2-0.

News & Trends

Modena vs Mantova: Serie B Round 32 playoff push meets mid-table visitorNeutral

Modena's Gliozzi on 11 goals for the season, challenging for Serie B top scorerNeutral

Mantova beat Cesena 3-0 to enter Modena clash in positive formNeutral

Modena beat Spezia 3-0 away, De Luca bags brace to consolidate playoff positionNeutral

Modena goalkeeper Chichizola records 14th clean sheet of the season - top classNeutral

Mantova's away record: 2 wins from 15 road games - one of Serie B's worstNeutral

Modena concede just 0.7 goals per game in last 10 - one of the best defences in Serie BNeutral

Mantova strikers Mancuso and Ruocco both on 7 goals, contributing the goals from attackNeutral

Modena's De Luca scores twice against Spezia to prove he is back in formNeutral

Serie B playoff race: five teams within a point of 6th place including ModenaNeutral

Mantova's Andrea Meroni ruled out with knee injury suffered against CesenaNeutral

Head to head stats: Modena unbeaten in last 5 meetings vs Mantova (2W 3D)Neutral

Modena score under 2.5 goals in 18 of last 19 Serie B games - low-scoring patternNeutral

Mantova midfielder Kouda doubtful with muscular strain for Modena matchNeutral

Modena emerge as consistent playoff contenders in Serie B 2025-26 seasonNeutral

Modena 3-0 Spezia: the kind of dominant home display that makes them playoff contendersNeutral

Mantova playing their first Serie B season in many years - finding the level challengingNeutral

Modena's Santoro leads the team with 4 assists, excellent supply line for GliozziNeutral

Mantova home vs away split among the most pronounced in Serie B this seasonNeutral

Modena's home record among the best in Serie B with 11 wins at BragliaNeutral

Season reverse fixture: Modena won 3-1 away at Mantova in September 2025Neutral

Modena's defensive numbers: 24 goals conceded, +16 goal difference, real promotion credentialsNeutral

Key Players

Home

Away

Strength Comparison

Key Factors

150%

5 recent meetings: Modena 2W 3D, Mantova 0W. Won 3-1 in reverse fixture at Mantova in September

250%

One of Serie B's worst away records. Nearly impossible for them to beat an in-form Modena at home

350%

Best defensive record in the division with 0.7 goals per game recently. Mantova will struggle to score

450%

Key defensive player absent with a knee problem, weakening Mantova's back four further

550%

Under 2.5 goals in 18 of last 19 games. Under 2.5 is the statistically dominant trend

H2H Insight

Relevance: 50

0 meetings0W0D0LAvg Goals: 0.0

Value Bet

Market	Odds	Implied	Predicted	Edge

Risk Assessment

Low

Trap Game Score50

Mantova arrive with confidence after a big win. Their attack can be dangerous when in form

Very short odds mean pure betting value is minimal even with high win probability

If Kouda misses, Mantova lose their most creative midfield outlet - this actually reduces risk for Modena